Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028687 0.030797 0.032917 0.035206 0.037603 0.040038 0.042695
2026-01-25 0.024588 0.027883 0.031317 0.035153 0.039305 0.043654 0.048540
2026-02-01 0.022001 0.025982 0.030244 0.035121 0.040523 0.046299 0.052917
2026-02-08 0.020007 0.024465 0.029347 0.035048 0.041481 0.048475 0.056613
2026-02-15 0.018350 0.023161 0.028537 0.034928 0.042257 0.050342 0.059872
2026-02-22 0.016988 0.022080 0.027876 0.034880 0.043029 0.052132 0.062986
2026-03-01 0.015625 0.020900 0.027015 0.034519 0.043370 0.053374 0.065429
2026-03-08 0.014237 0.019603 0.025937 0.033829 0.043262 0.054046 0.067172
2026-03-15 0.012985 0.018399 0.024903 0.033127 0.043084 0.054588 0.068723
2026-03-22 0.012531 0.018159 0.025017 0.033787 0.044509 0.056998 0.072452
2026-03-29 0.011860 0.017605 0.024708 0.033903 0.045255 0.058591 0.075211
2026-04-05 0.011157 0.016972 0.024268 0.033825 0.045743 0.059859 0.077576
2026-04-12 0.010748 0.016741 0.024367 0.034469 0.047185 0.062361 0.081534
2026-04-19 0.010051 0.016096 0.023918 0.034417 0.047774 0.063854 0.084320
2026-04-26 0.009420 0.015506 0.023508 0.034385 0.048366 0.065337 0.087086
2026-05-03 0.008824 0.014929 0.023087 0.034313 0.048886 0.066717 0.089721
2026-05-10 0.008258 0.014361 0.022650 0.034195 0.049328 0.067988 0.092215
2026-05-17 0.007758 0.013862 0.022283 0.034148 0.049845 0.069342 0.094808
2026-05-24 0.007190 0.013230 0.021703 0.033792 0.049942 0.070154 0.096720
2026-05-31 0.006558 0.012465 0.020906 0.033112 0.049589 0.070378 0.097883
2026-06-07 0.005970 0.011733 0.020123 0.032421 0.049195 0.070528 0.098936
2026-06-14 0.005820 0.011680 0.020313 0.033071 0.050584 0.072964 0.102885
2026-06-21 0.005524 0.011378 0.020125 0.033185 0.051248 0.074465 0.105651